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Chinese AI models overtake US rivals in worldwide model downloads

Chinese open-source AI models like DeepSeek and Alibaba’s Qwen now surpass US rivals in global downloads, stirring concerns over security, bias, and power in AI.

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By Jace Reed

5 min read

Image for illustrative purpose.
Image for illustrative purpose.

Chinese artificial intelligence models have taken the lead over US rivals in worldwide downloads, a symbolic and practical milestone in the global race to shape next-generation AI tools.

A joint study by the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and Hugging Face estimated that Chinese developers captured roughly 17% of global model downloads, compared with about 15.8% for US creators.

The shift reflects both the rapid progress of Chinese research groups and developers' hunger for low-cost, frequently updated, and permissively licensed models.

It also arrives at a time of rising concern among Western policymakers and security experts, who warn that Beijing-linked systems could embed subtle vulnerabilities or ideological filters into software and decision-making pipelines worldwide.

How did Chinese AI models pull ahead of US rivals in downloads?

The new figures mark the first time Chinese models collectively surpassed US offerings in global download share, a notable reversal given that American companies had long dominated major AI benchmarks and mindshare.

Researchers noted that the share difference remained narrow, yet the underlying momentum had clearly tilted toward Chinese open-source ecosystems.

That momentum built across a diverse set of platforms and registries where developers fetch pretrained models for tasks such as coding assistance, chat interfaces, translation, and domain-specific agents.

The study’s authors pointed to download counts, update frequency, and community contributions as evidence that Chinese models were no longer niche options, but central infrastructure for many AI builders.

Did you know?
Some Chinese open source language models now ship new variants on a weekly or biweekly schedule, a pace that far exceeds the release cycle of most major closed US AI systems.

Why are DeepSeek and Qwen so attractive to global developers?

Two model families stood out as primary drivers of China’s recent surge: DeepSeek and Alibaba’s Qwen. Both offered competitive performance on coding and reasoning tasks, relatively flexible licenses, and an aggressive release cadence that kept them ahead of rapidly evolving user needs, particularly among startup and independent teams.

Developers often described these models as delivering strong value relative to their hardware demands, an important factor in an era of scarce and expensive top-tier chips.

Reports from venture investors suggested that a large majority of young AI companies now experiment with or rely on Chinese open-source models, citing their mix of capabilities, cost efficiency, and customizable weights as major selling points.

What security and bias risks do Chinese AI models introduce?

Alongside the adoption wave, security researchers began documenting worrisome patterns in how some Chinese models handled politically sensitive prompts and safety-relevant coding tasks.

One high-profile analysis by a leading cybersecurity firm found that DeepSeek produced insecure code at a measurably higher rate when questions referenced topics such as Tibet or Uyghur regions compared with neutral scenarios.

The study indicated that vulnerabilities tended to appear after the model’s internal reasoning stage rather than during simple template generation, a pattern that raised the possibility of embedded biases or intentional guardrails that behaved differently under specific conditions.

Other investigations noted strong alignment with official Chinese Communist Party narratives, including refusals to discuss events such as the Tiananmen Square crackdown or to provide uncensored views on Taiwan, which heightened concerns about subtle information control.

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How does China’s open source push differ from the US AI strategy?

China’s open source emphasis contrasted sharply with the dominant US approach, where leading firms such as OpenAI, Google, and Anthropic concentrated their best efforts in closed, subscription-based systems.

Those companies framed secrecy and tight access controls as necessary for safety and commercial viability as they chased long-term goals around artificial general intelligence and super-scale models.

In China, export controls on advanced Nvidia chips and broader geopolitical restrictions pushed many labs toward lighter, more modular architectures that could run on less powerful hardware.

That constraint indirectly encouraged frequent, incremental releases as developers tuned and diversified smaller models, turning rapid open-source iteration into a strategic workaround for hardware limits.

What does this download shift mean for global AI power?

For policymakers, the rise of Chinese downloads raised questions about who sets de facto AI standards and whose values are baked into everyday tools for coding, content generation, and analytics.

If Chinese models become the default choice for large swaths of the global developer community, then their training data, safety policies, and hidden biases could exert outsized influence long before regulators adapt.

The United States still leads in many frontier research areas and in the scale of its closed commercial systems, yet the open source gap has clearly narrowed.

New efforts, such as the Olmo family from the Allen Institute for AI, showed that American institutions had not ceded the field entirely, but these projects remained exceptions in a landscape where China increasingly defined the pace and flavor of open models.

Looking ahead, governments, investors, and engineers will have to decide how to balance performance, cost, and openness against security and ideological risks.

Whether the next wave of innovation comes from Chinese open-source labs, US closed platforms, or a renewed Western commitment to transparent models, the current download data signals that competition over who builds and distributes the world’s most widely used AI systems has entered a sharper, more geopolitically charged phase.

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