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How Will Tesla’s Stock Weather This Third Shutdown?

Tesla’s shares fell 4 percent after news of a weeklong production pause in Austin. Can TSLA recover amid mounting pressures?

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By Noura Alvi

4 min read

How Will Tesla’s Stock Weather This Third Shutdown?

Tesla’s stock (TSLA) slid nearly 4 percent on June 17, 2025, closing at $316.28 after news of a weeklong production pause at its Austin, Texas, Gigafactory starting June 30, per a Business Insider report.

This period marks the third shutdown in a year, following halts in December 2024 and May 2025, as noted in a 2025 CNBC article.

The pause, affecting Cybertruck and Model Y lines, aims to facilitate maintenance and upgrades, but it compounds investor concerns after a 13 percent year-over-year delivery drop in Q1 2025, per a 2025 Investopedia report.

Despite a 60 percent surge from April lows to June highs, TSLA has lost 16.6 percent in 2025, with technical resistance at $352, per a 2025 Stocktwits analysis.

The stock’s volatility tests investor confidence, trading at 172 times 2025 earnings forecasts, per a 2025 MoneyCheck report.

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What Drives the Latest Production Pause?

The June 30 shutdown, detailed in a 2025 Investing.com report, is framed as routine maintenance to boost production capacity, though Tesla hasn’t specified which lines will benefit.

Previous pauses addressed battery shortages in December and workplace training in May, per a 2025 Bitcoin Ethereum News article.

The timing, just eight days after the planned June 22 robotaxi launch using Model Y vehicles, per a 2025 CNN report, raises questions about resource allocation.

Tesla’s shift to a Monday-Thursday schedule since July 2024, per a 2025 Drive Tesla Canada report, aims to optimize output but signals ongoing operational tweaks.

These frequent halts, while standard in the auto industry, per a 2025 Carscoops report, spotlight Tesla’s struggle to balance maintenance with delivery pressures, especially with Q2 numbers due in July.

How Will Cybertruck Inventory Impact Finances?

Tesla’s Cybertruck inventory, estimated at 10,000 unsold units worth $800 million, per a 2025 Fortune report, burdens finances. Q1 2025 sales fell to 6,406 units from 12,991 in late 2024, far below Elon Musk’s 250,000-unit goal, per a 2025 Electrek report.

With prices starting at $70,000 and resale values down 55 percent year-over-year, per a 2025 The Independent report, Tesla’s discounts and free charging incentives haven’t cleared the glut. Non-compliant lots, such as a Detroit mall, create regulatory risks, according to a 2025 GM Authority report.

This inventory crisis, alongside Model Y’s production pause, threatens cash flow, with Wells Fargo warning of potential negative Q2 cash flow, per a 2025 MoneyCheck report.

ALSO READ | Tesla Shares Plummet as Trump Targets Musk’s Government Contracts

Robotaxi Launch Offers Hope Amid Volatility

Tesla plans to launch its robotaxi pilot on June 22 in Austin, using 10 to 20 Model Y vehicles with upgraded Full Self-Driving software, per a 2025 CNBC report, to bolster investor sentiment.

Musk’s cautious timeline, emphasizing safety, per a 2025 Business Insider report, contrasts with Waymo’s 250,000 weekly rides, per a 2025 CNN report.

Protests by groups like The Dawn Project, citing FSD safety concerns, per a 2025 CNBC report, add scrutiny. Despite these challenges, the robotaxi narrative could boost TSLA if it proves successful, although analysts are skeptical about its short-term financial impact, according to a 2025 GuruFocus report.

The launch’s proximity to the shutdown underscores Tesla’s high-stakes multitasking, testing stock resilience.

Did you know?
Tesla’s Gigafactory Texas, opened in April 2022, produces 250,000 vehicles annually, making it the largest EV plant in the US, per a 2023 Tesla annual report.

Competitive Pressures Intensify. Rapidly

Tesla faces rising competition from Ford, GM, and BYD, with European sales down 45 percent and UK sales down 50 percent in early 2025, per a 2025 Independent report. BYD’s $10,000 Seagull EV undercuts Tesla’s pricing, per a 2025 Bloomberg report.

Musk’s political ties, including tensions with Trump, have fueled stock volatility, with a 14 percent drop on June 6 erasing $150 billion in value, per a 2025 Financial Times report.

Wells Fargo’s bearish $120 target, citing weak sales, per a 2025 MoneyCheck report, contrasts with optimism around Tesla’s 4680 battery expansion, per a 2025 Drive Tesla Canada report.

These pressures challenge TSLA’s ability to maintain its $1 trillion valuation amid operational hiccups.

What Lies Ahead for Tesla’s Stock?

Tesla’s third production pause in Austin, coupled with an $800 million Cybertruck inventory glut and competitive pressures, has driven a 4 percent stock drop, with TSLA down 16.6 percent in 2025. The robotaxi launch offers hope, but delivery declines and Musk’s controversies fuel volatility.

As Q2 delivery data looms, Tesla’s ability to balance maintenance, innovation, and market challenges will shape investor trust. Can TSLA overcome these hurdles to reclaim its upward momentum?

What should Tesla prioritize in order to stabilize its stock?

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