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U.S. Inflation Data Fuels Bullish Surge In Gold Futures

Gold futures rose 1.1% as U.S. inflation data reinforced expectations for a Fed rate cut in September, driving the precious metal near its all-time highs.

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By Yael Cohen

2 min read

Image for illustrative purpose.
Image for illustrative purpose.

Gold futures rallied sharply on August 29, 2025, with prices climbing 1.1% to $3,513.0 a troy ounce. The week’s gains now stand at 2.8%, bringing the precious metal closer to its record high set earlier this month amid growing market uncertainties.

Investor demand for gold has strengthened as the latest U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditure price index matched analyst expectations for July.

Consumer spending rose 0.3% on the month, providing the Federal Reserve with comfortable room to consider easing interest rates at its September meeting.

Fed Rate Cut Bets Drive Bullion Higher

Speculation about the Fed's next move has influenced gold's recent performance. Following Fed Chair Jerome Powell's indication at Jackson Hole last week, markets interpreted the latest inflation figures as additional support for a rate cut.

The non-yielding nature of gold becomes more attractive in periods of lower interest rates, amplifying its investor appeal.

Rising tariff uncertainty and cautious global outlooks have also fueled flight-to-safety trades this month. Gold has repeatedly tested resistance levels, with investors eager for clarity on where policy and inflation trends head next.

Did you know?
Gold set a new record of $3,534.20 per troy ounce earlier this August, driven largely by inflation, tariff worries, and central bank signals.

All-Time Highs Within Reach

With futures fast approaching their August record of $3,534.20 per ounce, gold’s upward momentum reflects deep concern about inflation and the economic path forward. Central bank signals have proven crucial to shaping short-term price action in the precious metals market.

Tariff uncertainty plays a continued background role, but expectations for Fed easing remain the dominant force in bullion’s rally. Gold investors are now attuned to incoming economic data and Fed commentary as September nears.

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Policy Uncertainty Makes Gold Attractive

Investors are likely to stay interested in gold as central banks around the world move toward potential rate cuts. The market’s proximity to historic price levels underscores ongoing caution and potential opportunity in the precious metals sector.

With the Fed set to meet in September, speculation is high that the next policy move could set the tone for gold’s trajectory into the fourth quarter.

Will gold hold its gains if the Fed cuts rates next month?

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