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US South Korea deal stalls on $350b investment terms, talks continue

Trump says a US–South Korea trade deal is near, but talks have slowed over a proposed $ 350 billion investment plan, as he also reported progress with India before meeting China’s Xi Jinping.

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By Marcus Bell

4 min read

Image for illustrative purpose.
Image for illustrative purpose.

President Trump told business leaders at the APEC CEO Summit in South Korea that trade agreements with India and South Korea were nearing completion, setting the stage for a meeting with China’s President Xi Jinping that could frame next steps on tariffs and critical supply chains.

He cast the announcements as part of a broader shift toward reciprocal terms and faster deal timelines. The South Korea track remained complicated by a proposed $350 billion investment in the United States that Washington wants to link to tariff steps.

Seoul signaled a preference for loans and guarantees over significant, direct cash commitments, a design choice that slowed drafting even as leaders spoke confidently about timing.

What did Trump confirm at APEC?

Trump said the United States was close to finalizing bilateral trade deals with both South Korea and India, and he underscored that the South Korea text could be ready very soon if the remaining investment issues were resolved.

The remarks aimed to reassure executives that formal signings could follow rapidly once instruments were aligned. He framed the Asia swing as a push for quicker outcomes that balance tariffs, investment, and strategic coordination.

The message emphasized that partners willing to adopt reciprocal tariff paths and concrete investment timelines would see momentum. In contrast, others might confront delays tied to domestic politics and financial risk management.

Did you know?
Gyeongju, the APEC host city, served as the Silla kingdom’s capital for nearly a millennium, and its artisans pioneered advanced ceramics that moved along early East Asian trade routes.

Why is the South Korea pact delayed?

Negotiators wrestled with how to structure the $350 billion figure, a headline number that carries political weight in both countries. South Korean officials favored financing tools that scale over time, which they see as less disruptive to domestic liquidity and more compatible with state-backed credit programs.

The impasse centered on mechanics, including which instruments count toward the target, how quickly capital would flow, and what tariff milestones would trigger each tranche.

Without agreement on those specifics, lawyers struggled to convert the framework into binding text, even as both sides reiterated that the alliance and commercial ties remain strong.

How close is the India trade agreement?

Talks with India were described as in the final stages, with negotiators focusing on reducing US tariffs imposed on a wide range of Indian exports.

Political goodwill between Trump and Prime Minister Narendra Modi helped create room for calibrated schedules that could rebuild trust after earlier tariff escalations.

Open questions included market access in sensitive categories and the pace of tariff normalization that would satisfy domestic constituencies on both sides.

The aim was a deal that signals a durable reset, with enough flexibility to adjust if external shocks or commodity dynamics complicate the initial timelines.

What could the Xi meeting unlock?

The planned meeting with Xi Jinping offered a channel to set a narrow framework for de-escalation, potentially touching on rare earth minerals, agricultural purchases, and targeted tariff relief.

Even a modest outcome could reduce uncertainty if paired with verification steps and review checkpoints that maintain leverage while restoring predictability.

Markets watched for signs that the two sides would sequence relief in ways that stabilize supply chains without giving up negotiating power.

Regional partners at APEC sought clarity on how bilateral steps might align with broader economic security goals that extend beyond any single tariff list.

What is the technology angle in these talks?

Alongside tariff and investment matters, US and South Korean officials pursued technology coordination to keep an edge in artificial intelligence, advanced communications, and computing.

The approach seeks to harmonize export controls while, where appropriate, simplifying compliance, thereby reducing friction for firms investing across jurisdictions.

Better alignment on standards and trusted supplier networks can amplify the impact of trade deals, since tech projects hinge on licensing rules, component sourcing, and predictable timelines.

The goal is to combine economic security with innovation incentives so that capital formation and research can proceed without unexpected policy shocks.

If negotiators settle the investment mechanism with South Korea, tariff steps could follow quickly and unlock momentum for broader sectoral agreements.

Suppose the India track lands calibrated tariff schedules. In that case, that progress may carry into the Xi meeting, where even a narrow understanding could cool volatility and anchor a phased path toward reduced trade friction.

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