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What Signals Are Behind Gold’s Unstoppable Rise?

Comex gold reaches record highs despite macro uncertainties, climbing over 40 percent year-to-date as traders weigh inflation, dollar weakness, and safe haven demand.

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By Yael Cohen

4 min read

Visual representation of gold for illustrative purpose only.
Visual representation of gold for illustrative purpose only.

Comex gold futures closed at a new all-time high of $3688.90 per ounce, continuing a powerful uptrend that has seen the precious metal gain over 40 percent since the start of the year.

The latest rally marks gold’s largest three-day advance since early September and extends a remarkable streak of 13 gains out of the last 15 trading sessions.

Momentum for gold has built steadily all year, and current price action shows no sign of slowing despite persistent macroeconomic uncertainties.

Investor enthusiasm has pushed monthly and yearly gains to multiyear records, and the surge comes just days ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s next policy move.

How Did Gold Hit Its Latest Record High?

Front-month Comex gold for September delivery rose 0.18 percent to $3688.90, a fresh record close. Prices are up 1.43 percent over three sessions, representing the largest such move in dollar and percentage terms since early September.

Gold has climbed 43.86 percent from its 52-week low and stands nearly 8 percent above its prior year’s high.

Technical traders highlight gold’s persistent bullish momentum, with the commodity remaining above key support levels and sustaining buying activity during periods of broader market volatility.

Multiple attempts to break resistance have succeeded as dollar weakness and persistent inflation fears underpin continued upside moves.

Did you know?
Gold has outperformed the S&P 500 and bitcoin year-to-date, gaining more than 40 percent as both stocks and cryptocurrencies rallied.

Why Is Gold Rallying in 2025?

Several factors align behind gold’s strength this year. Ongoing concerns about inflation and the erosion of fiat currency purchasing power play a central role.

Worries about global financial instability, geopolitical tensions, and shifting fiscal policies have kept demand for safe haven assets at historic highs.

Gold’s performance has also benefited from rapid gains in other commodities and increased volatility in global equities and cryptocurrencies.

Supply constraints and robust central bank buying have reinforced gold’s upward trend, boosting long-term investor sentiment.

What Economic Factors Are Driving Gold Demand?

Inflation and monetary easing are among the strongest tailwinds for gold pricing in 2025. Despite recent gains in consumer spending and asset prices, high input costs and sluggish wage growth highlight underlying vulnerabilities.

The U.S. dollar’s sharp pullback in currency markets has further fueled investor rotation into gold, amplifying its safe haven appeal.

Additionally, data shows retail and institutional demand rising in major economies, with strong ETF inflows and physical bullion purchases extending the rally.

Gold’s resilience in the face of market shocks has strengthened its position among portfolio managers and risk-averse investors.

ALSO READ | Oil Prices Climb Amid Rising Global Geopolitical Tensions

How Does Central Bank Policy Influence Gold Prices?

Monetary policy remains a primary driver of gold’s record run. With the Federal Reserve expected to announce rate cuts and other global central banks signaling dovish positions, speculation over lower interest rates has lifted gold prices.

Lower rates tend to reduce opportunity costs for holding non-yielding assets like bullion, drawing more buyers. Central bank diversification and rising reserves further support gold’s rally.

Policymaker statements and macro forecasts suggest ongoing supportive conditions for precious metals in the months ahead, keeping gold at the forefront of global asset allocation strategies.

What Could Gold Do Next After This Historic Rally?

As gold flirts with the $3700 mark, traders and analysts remain alert to future risks and opportunities. Factors such as geopolitical flare-ups, additional monetary easing, and shifts in inflation expectations could sustain further upward momentum.

Some forecasts see potential for gold to test $4000 or higher in 2026 if uncertainties persist. Investors should monitor key support zones and policy signals as the market digests recent gains.

With momentum, technical strength, and fundamental demand catalyzing gold’s rise, the current rally may only be the beginning of a new cycle for bullion owners worldwide.

Will gold maintain its momentum after the fresh record highs?

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