XRP Price Could Skyrocket to $25 on ETF Approval, But Analysts Warn of 90% Crash

June 9, 2025 | New York, NY— XRP, the cryptocurrency tied to Ripple, is generating buzz, as analysts predict a potential surge to $20–$27 in 2025 if a spot XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF) gains approval from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The optimism stems from a confluence of factors, including a 98% likelihood of ETF approval, robust institutional interest, and Ripple’s recent legal clarity.

However, experts caution that such a rally could be followed by a dramatic 90% price crash, echoing historical market cycles. This volatility underscores the high-stakes nature of XRP’s potential breakout.

ALSO READ | Ripple and XRP Poised for Growth Amid $421M Treasury Investments and Institutional Support

ETF Approval Odds Soar to 98%

The prospect of a spot XRP ETF has gained significant traction, with betting platforms indicating a 98% chance of SEC approval by December 31, 2025. Major financial players, including Bitwise, Grayscale, Franklin Templeton, and 21Shares, have filed ETF applications, signaling strong demand for regulated XRP investment vehicles.

The launch of XRP futures ETFs by the CME Group on May 19, which recorded $19 million in first-day trading volume, has further bolstered confidence by demonstrating market maturity. Corporate adoption is also on the rise, with three companies, including Webus International, announcing plans to allocate over $471 million to XRP treasuries.

These developments, along with the SEC dropping its lawsuit against Ripple in March, fueled market optimism and pushed XRP’s price to $2.26, a 9.7% recovery from its recent low of $2.06.

Analysts Predict a $25 Peak

Analysts are eyeing a significant XRP rally, with price targets ranging from $20 to $27. Market analyst Egrag Crypto’s “The Guardian Arch” model, which analyzes the 21-week exponential moving average and 33-week simple moving average, suggests XRP could hit $20, with a potential peak at $27 based on historical price patterns.

A bull flag formation on the monthly chart further supports this bullish outlook. Another analyst, Jaydee_757, points to a 2017-like bullish divergence on the weekly chart, which previously drove XRP from $0.0055 to $3.40—a 20x increase.

A similar pattern could propel XRP to $25, a 1,000% jump from current levels. Supporting data from cryptocurrency exchanges shows XRP trading volume up 15% in the past week, reflecting heightened investor interest.

Did you know?
XRP’s 2017 bull run saw it surge 36,000% in just 12 months, making it one of the most explosive rallies in crypto history.

A Looming 90% Crash?

Despite the bullish projections, analysts warn of a potential 86-90% price correction following the rally. Egrag Crypto predicts that if XRP reaches $27, a bear market could drive it down to $3.00, mirroring the 2021 crash. Jaydee_757 concurs, noting that XRP’s historical cycles suggest a “biblical” move to $25 followed by a sharp decline.

Such volatility is consistent with past altcoin bull runs, where rapid gains often precede steep corrections. Current market data indicates XRP’s relative strength index (RSI) is approaching overbought territory at 68, hinting at a possible short-term pullback before any major rally.

Broader Implications for XRP

Potential ETF approval could unlock significant institutional capital, with some analysts speculating that prices could rise as high as $50 if giants like BlackRock enter the market. However, regulatory delays and market dynamics continue to make it difficult.

The SEC’s cautious stance on crypto ETFs, coupled with global economic uncertainties, could temper XRP’s ascent. Investors are advised to approach with caution, balancing the promise of exponential gains against the risk of a historic crash.